Calibration moat

What actually happened

Operational history is preserved with context. Compatible-event comparisons require the same metric, service style, a reasonable guest band and, when known, the same room. Trials remain visible but excluded.

Metric

strike-minutes

Comparable sample

0

Observed range

—–—

Average

—

Pattern status

Too few compatible real events

Legacy setup variance

Actual 110 vs issued 100: 10 minutes.

Legacy bar check

Observed rate 40; frozen expectation 45; reuse remains explicit-proposal-only.

Record operational outcome

Legacy setup + bar metrics

Operational history

Comparable records stay explainable

MetricObservedPlannedContextIncludedWhy
setup-minutes110 minutes100seated-supper · 70 guests · Copper LaneExcludedDifferent metric.
strike-minutes95 minutes85seated-supper · 80 guests · Juniper HallExcludedTrial observation is excluded from calibration.

Legacy setup comparison currently has 1 compatible record(s); that older layer is retained for backward compatibility while operational history expands.